Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024603 0.026708 0.028909 0.031383 0.034087 0.036956 0.040232
2025-08-03 0.020931 0.023933 0.027251 0.031196 0.035768 0.040908 0.047140
2025-08-10 0.018825 0.022371 0.026455 0.031521 0.037654 0.044864 0.054015
2025-08-17 0.016914 0.020728 0.025270 0.031098 0.038410 0.047322 0.059069
2025-08-24 0.015353 0.019313 0.024163 0.030571 0.038861 0.049285 0.063483
2025-08-31 0.014180 0.018256 0.023373 0.030312 0.039538 0.051471 0.068213
2025-09-07 0.013199 0.017350 0.022683 0.030085 0.040177 0.053568 0.072876
2025-09-14 0.012381 0.016590 0.022110 0.029942 0.040868 0.055718 0.077680
2025-09-21 0.011588 0.015803 0.021437 0.029592 0.041216 0.057368 0.081829
2025-09-28 0.011031 0.015297 0.021106 0.029676 0.042145 0.059847 0.087276
2025-10-05 0.010445 0.014712 0.020620 0.029496 0.042659 0.061725 0.091913
2025-10-12 0.010006 0.014307 0.020360 0.029613 0.043592 0.064240 0.097628
2025-10-19 0.009590 0.013931 0.020149 0.029830 0.044751 0.067254 0.104477
2025-10-26 0.009079 0.013390 0.019669 0.029618 0.045250 0.069306 0.109980
2025-11-02 0.008747 0.013096 0.019535 0.029919 0.046550 0.072663 0.117798
2025-11-09 0.008265 0.012545 0.018977 0.029519 0.046698 0.074177 0.122645
2025-11-16 0.007800 0.011993 0.018384 0.029021 0.046646 0.075341 0.126949
2025-11-23 0.007429 0.011569 0.017967 0.028776 0.046984 0.077150 0.132457
2025-11-30 0.007093 0.011181 0.017585 0.028562 0.047349 0.079009 0.138155
2025-12-07 0.006797 0.010842 0.017263 0.028426 0.047831 0.081081 0.144354
2025-12-14 0.006481 0.010456 0.016842 0.028096 0.047949 0.082511 0.149451
2025-12-21 0.006267 0.010226 0.016668 0.028175 0.048784 0.085247 0.157156
2025-12-28 0.006019 0.009927 0.016362 0.028005 0.049157 0.087160 0.163406